12th January 2017
FTSE 100 Support 7278 7261 7260 7252 7180 7150 7112
FTSE 100 Resistance 7294 7298 7312 7318 7343 7358
Good morning. And so it begins, the Trump volatility. Was actually quite surprising to see the 7320 level get hit yesterday as thought that 7300 might have put up a bit more of a fight. However the rise with the long from 7260 worked well, as did the 7320 short. Gold has certainly reacted bullishly since Trumps speech, now almost back to $1200. I might be bold here and say that maybe 7330 is going to be the short term high and we start to get our retrace now.
FTSE 100 Outlook and Prediction
Gold has steadily risen over the past 12 hours, and has nearly reached $1200, as such I am thinking that we might have seen the short term top at 7330 and are on the cusp of the retrace that we have all been expecting. Its probably taken out enough shorts with the rise to that level, though above this there is still resistance at 7351. The 30min FTSE chart has gone bearish for the first time in a while and is showing resistance at 7294, where we also have the daily pivot, so I am thinking that a short here on any initial rise at the open is a good plan.
Above this then shorting the 7355 area is my plan B. I don’t think it will get that high as yesterday did put the cat amongst the pigeons a bit and lead to some uncertainty, on top of an already over inflated rise – daily RSI was 88 at one point yesterday and is currently at 83. If that crosses down through 70 then the bears will feel more confident too.
All in all, a fairly simple plan for today, looking for a run down to the 7250 support and possibly lower. The narrow channel on the Bianca chart is going to have a breakout soon, it just a case of guessing which way!
FTSE strongest out of the European indexes..dispite the £/$ was up 1% earlier…I have below 7275 as short term trend change…
something of interest…The Hindenburg Omen triggered in early november…this has 3 months window of a potential crash ..
Interesting, thanks George. Might be waiting till end of Jan though after Trump’s inauguration? Bulls trying to defend this 7270 area aren’t they.
Yes it bounced off the 7270 level…Buyers still in control ..
Think they will need to break 7300 now as the shorter time frames are looking bearish
Think people that are long from 6700 will now be cashing in and shorting.. Needs to close below 7275 for weakness…
Holding onto it so far
£ is getting stronger and FTSE is rising.
Something brewing I feel. Was Trump the rumour that everyone bought, and now he’s soon to be in office will that be the sell News?
Needs to break 7260 convincingly for the bears to comeout .
Unbelievably resilient
Nick what are your thoughts on Ftse now?
do you think we have entered a bull trap?
Bulls held the support so might be on for 7350 now