9th February 2017
FTSE 100 Support 7183 7177 7158 7119
FTSE 100 Resistance 7209 7199 7211 7216 7228 7241 7248 7255
Good morning. The bulls failed to break 7195 yesterday with it actually being stronger resistance than expected, and we saw an eventual drop down to S1 at 7146 before the bulls got a turbo boost and brought it all the way back up to 7190 where we have stayed overnight. Was an interesting rise as it didn’t even pause for breath at 7175 which is where you would expect it to as we had resistance from the drop at that level on a few timeframes. Bit odd and no doubt helped by the GBPUSD rate again. That has fallen overnight to just above 125. Of course we also had another parliament vote last night, the result of which give PM May the all clear to invoke Article 50. Not really surprising that result.
FTSE 100 Outlook and Prediction
The bears finally managed to break 7160 support yesterday which in theory opens the way for a drop back to 7100. However it seems the bulls had other ideas as it was quickly brought back up, keeping the viability of a rise to 7248 in play still. Tricky trading thats for sure! For today I am looking at 7177 to hold as support and the bulls to build on their rise yesterday to retest the 7225 resistance seen earlier this week. If they can break above that then we are likely to see the 7250 area where we have the top of the 10 day Raff again.
The Bianca channel resistance levels are at 7211 and 7241 so we may well see some reaction at these prices as well. Both 20 day channels are around the 7210 area as we also have the 20 day Raff at 7215 – will be interesting to see if the bulls can break above this today.
Support wise, yesterdays low at 7145 is the next area if the pivot at 7177 breaks, with 7100 below that. A break of 7100 will get the bears quite excited though if yesterday evening’s strength continues today then I don’t think we will be seeing that level today.
Gold has continued its impressive rise, nearly back at the 1250 level now and firmly holding above 1200. Still think we will see 1500 this year on that.
Continuing from ydays board ….added long Dax at 580 to go with my 98.8 long
I didn’t see that much of a drop coming though….
So looking for long here from Pivot area (dax 542ish), it will probably overshoot.
By the time I’m back at 9am I’ll see the developments.
Morning, anstel.
Morning Jack..
I still see the potential to go to 11543. Let it be it.
You could well be right too…I’m holding for a bit though…
50/50 situation for me.
tiny short I took to test my thoughts.
It’s like not taking it at all. I just test my strategy on it. 65 short.
Funny thing is, there is no emotions when I sit with this type of stake.
Is Nick still waiting for his 177 I wonder?
Where is everyone today?
I’ve been wondering this for days. Waiting for 43 now.
Closed for 10 points
turned for long, let’s see.
I think you’re on the money long today Jack…
Maybe tmfp will return when it gets a bit toppy….
Maybe, staying away from this nasty FTSE choppiness!
I keep hoping for a drop back to 7100 and a bounce back to 7200+. Wishful thinking perhaps.
Free trade from 70 dax full stake initially.
Because I’m scared (yet kind of) I reduced my stake on the win. Do you do this, Nick?
Now problem is target. Help. Haha.
I honestly want to hold this. For IDEA.
If it gets to 600, it’s definitely going up.
holy… wow
36.5 out. honestly guys 200 quid…
Nice one Jack see just hold em abit longer…..and don’t get overconfident now and give it all back…..maybe walk away for a bit…..when you win like that you become euphoric and your thinking and mindfulness goes out of the window….well done Jack…..
100% increase on the account since January. Have a rest for the rest of the day. Fuf. How are you doing anstel?
I’m going great thanks jack pulled about £88 out of DAX this morning but my Ftse trade is my baby…..my Cable shorts are starting to behave as well :0)….
GL, I hope it will turn well for you.
Closed combined longs on Dax for + 32pts x2
250 quid won today. Comparing to usual 50-100, you know.
Nick, you are genius!
Well done, anstel. Great day!
anstel, replying for 11.38 above:
I know what you are saying about the euphoric bit. That’s why I’m not trading any more today and will do my paper work on this trade, analyzing, comparing to strategy. It was by the book trade, happy of course but feel quite realistic about it. Thank you. And GL of course 🙂
Best of luck Jack…..you know the emotions we have to guard against…..great day…come back next week and knock it out of the park again….but try and keep your sizing down…..when you get size on it can destroy 6 months of work in a couple of days…ask me how I know :0) I’m pushing now to be honest..
How far are you pushing now with your stake if you can share it?
£155
Come on FTSE what you got tday? 240 or 250 or are you just teasing as usual?
Rsi dropped to middle 60s on 5 min…..I think you have more Ftse…just taking a breather?
Carneys speech in 6 hrs….
Thanks anstel
PS) nice work Jack 🙂
Thank you. Quite an experience! 🙂
No worries…
Long Dax at 603.3 small stake for interest mainly….
And bought it a brother at 90
Cable hovering round middle 60s
Hi all
Its been craaaazy out there today. Up n down like a whores draw(er?)s as they say 🙂
Dax at least.
Threw away a load yesterday going short against priced in data. Silly error, stick to what I know.
Having a great time on the dax – more luck than judgement, but I ended up in the right ‘cycle’ with the market so managed to sell it, buy it, sell it.
Just read the eurphoric comment from Jack earlier – very timely advice for me at this moment – euphoric that I’ve almost made back yesterdays error 🙂
So I will finally get out of my dressing gown and eat some food!
Will Dow get over 20100 again? I’m flipping a coin and saying big push up on dollar and dow (on the basis of not much) . I have no money on that though – play it as it comes.
Back later.
GL.
(Oh, going short against oil and priced in data)
Hi inoodle glad to see someone else joining us on here….it was getting a bit lonely lol :0)
We seem to be struggling on the 5min Ftse with a double top around the 6213 level……I wonder if we can get past that today?
I can see the FTSE hitting 7215 again today and then back down to 7170 by close.
Hey Anstel! 🙂
Yeah its nice when there are a few on here!
dollar seems to be weakening – dax is ignoring it though – showing strength ahead of us open… this either means it needs to drop and is just lagging – or its going to power up! 🙂 Not very helpful 🙂
Hey inoodle good to chat again,yeah I think if by any strange chance cable could sell off from this middle 60 area it could give the Ftse the boost it needs to break this 13 – 15 area….as kunderam486 says above it could then fall back to the 7170s but it’s been doing that a lot….maybe time for a push North…..
I’m pretty sure it’s a stairway to heaven…
usdjpy is actually trending up – just in a wide channel…
there goes dax catching up downwards
hahahaha damn, its such an odd feeling being in sync with the market… finally my mind is twisted enough :0
It takes a lot of twisting till it holds its warped shape doesn’t it…:0)
Out of my Dax long at 616.5 for about 20 pts……
I wondered if you were still holding. Another spike on Dax. I just saw it building up.
short for a quick drop before the close ?? i hope !!
I think you’re correct, get your shorts on lads.
Be careful you guys…
Closed 4 cable shorts for 86 pips combined….still running 2…..
Out of my massive Ftse long at 7239.3…….holy moly…..that was pressure….good night all…..
Well done!!!
Thanks Jack…a good day all round…looking forward to a good nights sleep all tucked up in bed…..oh the simple things :0)
Arrows played out well today
Morning shorted at 53 this morning….. Dumped it for a loss long now at 58.8