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Geopolitical situation as fighting intensifies | 10512 10563 resistance | 10460 10420 support

Technical analysis for 13th July 2026

Well, we start the new week with the geopolitical situation firmly back in control of the markets. Fighting in the Gulf has intensified again and the uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has sent oil sharply higher this morning.

That has immediately brought the inflation problem back into focus.

Asian markets have been hit hard overnight, European futures are pointing lower and the US markets are also under pressure ahead of the open. The dollar and bond yields have both pushed higher as traders increase their expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to raise rates again.