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UK GDP 0.2% | FOMC & ECB rates | 7618 7640 resistance | 7561 7539 support

FTSE100 Analysis | Signals | Forecast | Prediction | FTSE 100 Outlook | Trading help

FTSE100 analysis & prediction for 14th June 2023

Asian shares rose and the dollar was under pressure on Wednesday after slowing U.S. inflation solidified bets that the Federal Reserve would skip a hike later in the day, but uncertainty remained about further rate increases beyond this week.

The much-watched U.S. CPI report overnight showed prices barely rose in May, with just a 0.1% increase from the prior month. On an annual basis, consumer prices rose 4%, the smallest in more than two years, slowing from April’s 4.9%.

That led traders to firm up expectations of a rate pause by the Fed to 91.9% when it concludes a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, but the still-strong underlying price pressures suggest an over 60% probability the central bank could resume hikes in July, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

Am out this morning so no details, trade plan sent to members.

  • UK Monthly GDP (M/M) Apr: 0.2% (est 0.2%; prev -0.3%) - UK Monthly GDP (3M/3M) Apr: 0.1% (est 0.1%; prev 0.1%)
  • UK Industrial Production (M/M) Apr: -0.3% (est -0.1%; prev 0.7%) - UK Industrial Production (Y/Y) Apr: -1.9% (est -1.7%; prev -2.0%) - UK Manufacturing Production (M/M) Apr: -0.3% (est -0.1%; prev 0.7%) - UK Manufacturing Production (Y/Y) Apr: -0.9% (est -0.8%; prev -1.3%)

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