Quote from Xtream on 27th December 2019, 7:56 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and USD/CAD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1096.

• EUR/USD is gaining ground on broad-based dollar selling.
• The pair is closing on a crucial trendline hurdle at 1.1140.
• With gold rising amid trade optimism, a breakout looks likely.

The easing of trade tensions is good news for Germany. The 18-month US-China trade war had pushed the Eurozone's manufacturing powerhouse and biggest economy to the brink of recession.

As a result, the dollar could continue to lose ground in Friday's European session – more so, as the equity market buoyancy is expected to continue with Amazon, the e-commerce giant, reporting record holiday season.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1087 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1080. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1107 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1114.

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3121.

• USD/CAD on track for a test below 1.31 the figure on firm commodity complex.
• Phase-one trade deal between the US and China is in the making, supporting commodity currencies.

Funds is under pressure as the commodity complex catches a bid on the so-called 'phase-one' trade deal that is scheduled to be signed in January between the US and China.

The trade, ownership and technology practices of Chinese companies for the past two decades will not vanish overnight, nor will optimism of US and Canadian executives return with two signatures.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3100 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3087. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3144, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3157.

Important Economic Events of the Day

• JPY: Retail Sales m/m
• USD: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
• USD: Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count
• GBP: Nationwide HPI m/m

 

Quote from Xtream on 30th December 2019, 9:22 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP / USD Currency Pair

EUR /USD

EUR traded Higher against USD and closed at 1.1175.

EUR/USD is attempting a convincing break above 1.12 amid broad-based US dollar weakness.

The currency pair is currently trading at 1.1196, representing a 0.20% gain on the day, having hit a high of 1.1210 in Asia.

Dollar's bearish trend continued in Asia and looks to have legs, as gold, a hard currency, is reporting a 3% gain on a month-to-date basis in dollar terms and is expected to put on a good show next year. The trend in the gold market is widely used as an indicator to confirm the bullish/bearish price action in the US dollar.

EUR/USD's bullish case looks stronger with the weekly chart reporting an upside break of the trendline connecting September 2018 and June 2019 highs.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1196 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1195. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1200 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1201.

GBP / USD  

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3076

• GBP/USD remains on the front foot for the fifth consecutive day to the highest since December 19.
• The Brexit party leader Nigel Farage’s former adviser Trixy Sanderson signaled the EU’s preparations for a no-deal departure.
• The market lost interest in the greenback as phase-one calls rise but US-China political divide remains.
• According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3075 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3068. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3097, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3104.

Important Economic Events of the Day

• USD: Pending Home Sales m/m
• USD: Pending Home Sales y/y
• USD: Goods Trade Balance

Quote from Xtream on 7th January 2020, 10:57 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP / USD Currency Pair

EUR /USD

• EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1193

The market is well placed to retest resistance at 1.1197- 1.1240 – namely the 55-week ma, the 2019-2020 down channel, and the recent high. This guards the 200-week ma at 1.1360 which continues to represent a critical breakpoint medium term.”

“Dips lower are well supported by the 55 and 20-day ma at 1.1095/1.1065 and the 3-month uptrend at 1.1045.”

“Failure at the uptrend would target the 1.0981 29th November low.”

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1167 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1156 The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1205 and a rise through could take it to the next the resistance level of 1.1216.

GBP / USD  

•       GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3167

“We look for dips lower to remain well supported by the 55-day ma at 1.2987. The low on the 23rd December was 1.2908 and while above here we will assume an upside bias to retest the December high at 1.3515.”

“The December high at 1.3515 guards the September 2017 high and 38.2% retracement (of the move down from 2014) at 1.3658/68. This guards the more important 1.3918 2007 -2020 downtrend.”

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2841 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2604. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3461, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3607.

Important Economic Events of the Day

 

•       EUR Retail Sales m/m.

 

•       EUR Retail Sales y/y.

 

•       GBP 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction.

 

•       USD Trade Balance.

 

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Quote from Xtream on 15th January 2020, 10:19 am

Technical Overview of GBP/USD and EUR/USD Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3017.

GBP/USD looks to extend the bounce towards 1.3050 ahead of the UK CPI report, as broad-based US dollar weakness and bullish technical set up underpin the sentiment around the spot.

• Flat - closed up 0.2%, as expectations of a Jan BoE cut cooled
• Inflation data on today and retail sales Friday will be key for sterling
• Despite bounce daily charts are negative, though at low end of recent ranges
• Momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs head lower and 21 day Bolli bands slip
• 1.2900, December low then 1.2887 lower 21 day Bolli band are major support

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2973 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2954. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3033, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3052.

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1127.

• EUR/USD barely moved in Asia trading in a 1.1126/31 range
• Most of the action in regionals as USD moved up on Mnuchin comments\
• Resistance at 10-day MA at 1.1140 with option selling ahead of 1.1150
• Large option maturities 1.1100/50 defining recent range
• Break above 1.1150 targets 61.8 fibo of 1.1240/1.1085 at 1.1181
• EZ IP later today, but US-China trade deal likely to be main event

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1111 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1101. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1141 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1151.

Economic events of the Day

• USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
• USD EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change
• USD FOMC Member Harker Speech

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Quote from Xtream on 21st January 2020, 8:42 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and USD/JPY and Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1094

• Touch softer - closed up 0.05% after recording a fresh 1.1076 Jan low
• UK to set out goals for EU trade talks - PM Johnson's spokesman
• Charts show momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs edging lower - negative setup
• 1080/85, 61.8% of the Nov-Dec bounce and Jan double bottom held on close
• Sustained 1.1075 breaks a bearish signal, next stop 1.1042 76.4% Nov-Dec rise
• 1113, 38.2% of the January dip and 5 DMA is initial resistance
• 1100 350M, 1.1125 230M, and 1.1140-50 1.5BLN strikes cap

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1082 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1076. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1102 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1108

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 110.18.

USD/JPY extends losses while taking rounds to 110.00 during early Tuesday. The pair shrugged off the BOJ’s widely anticipated monetary policy decision as risk aversion seems to be in the play.

• USD/JPY extends the recent losses despite BOJ holding its monetary policy intact while keeping forward guidance on interest rates intact.
• News of coronavirus outbreak recently triggered risk-off; trade-positive news from the Chinese Commerce Ministry failed to please buyers.
• Geopolitical plays in the Middle East, trade headlines will welcome the US traders returning from the extended weekend.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 110.13 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.10. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.21 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.24

Economic Events of the Day

• JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision
• JPY BoJ Press Conference
• GBP Claimant Count Change
• EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment Indicator

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!   

Quote from Xtream on 5th February 2020, 8:27 am

Technical Overview of AUD/USD And EUR / USD Currency Pair                                                                       

AUD/USD

AUD traded High against USD and closed at 6700

• AUD/USD takes the bids to 0.6711 after the RBA leaves its benchmark interest rates unchanged during early Tuesday. The pair previously dropped amid fears of coronavirus outbreak. AUD/USD keeps losses as RBA's Lowe reiterates the “gentle turning point” description.

• AUD/USD continues to trade in the red despite upbeat comments by RBA's Lowe.
• The central bank head said the economy is passing through a gentle turning point.
• China's Caixin services PMI for January missed estimates.  

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6693 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6678 The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6741 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6756.

EUR/USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1042

• Amid risk reset, the EUR/USD pair is currently trading near 1.1034, down 0.10% on the day, having faced rejection near 1.11 on Monday.

1. EUR/USD is losing altitude amid risk reset in the financial markets.
2. Coronavirus scare has eased with China's decision to inject liquidity.
3. All eyes remain on Eurozone data, ECB Lagarde’s speech and US PMIs.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1035 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1027. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1059  and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1067

Important Economic Events of the Day

• NZD Employment Change q/q
• USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
• USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
• USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Quote from Xtream on 11th February 2020, 10:50 am

Technical Overview of AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

AUD/USD

• AUD traded Higher against USD and closed at  0. 6686

AUD/USD sustains the bounce above 0.6700 amid mixed Australian NAB Business Survey and Home Loan data. The spot draws support from a risk-on rally in the Asian stocks, as coronavirus fears take a back seat.

• AUD/USD is reporting marginal gains despite below-forecast NAB data.
• The 14-day RSI is reporting a bullish divergence.
• Australia's Home Loan data bettered estimates by a big margin.
• That alongside the uptick in the equities could help the Aussie eke out notable bounce.According to the

Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6673 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6663. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6703 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6713.

USD/JPY

USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 109.74

• USD/JPY holds onto recovery gains from 21-day SMA.
• A sustained break of monthly high will divert the bulls towards the yearly top.
• 200-day SMA acts as key support.

USD/JPY registers 0.10% gains while rising to 109.85 by the press time of the pre-European session on Tuesday. In doing so, the quote justifies the bullish candlestick formation portrayed the previous day.

As a result, prices are now gearing up to the monthly top surrounding 110.05, a break of which will escalate the latest recovery towards January 17 high near 110.30.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.65 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 109.58. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.85, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.92.

Important Economic Events of the Day

• GBP Manufacturing Production m/m
• GBP GDP q/q
• GBP GDP m/m
• GBP GDP 3m/3m

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

 

Quote from Xtream on 19th February 2020, 8:10 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

EUR/USD

• EUR traded Higher against USD and closed at 0791

EUR/USD closed out Tuesday below 1.07 to print the weakest daily close since April 2017.

More importantly, the single currency formed a bearish marubozu candle, implying a continuation of the downtrend.

A red marubozu, the one with a large body and little or no shadows, occurs when sellers control the price throughout the day, and is considered very bearish.

The back-to-back big red marubozu candles seen on the weekly chart are also painting a bearish picture.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.0786 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0774 The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0826 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0838.

GBP/USD

• GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 2998

• GBP/USD falls to register noticeable moves following a Tuesday’s Doji candlestick.
• Short-term moves are confined between 50 and 100-day SMA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement offers immediate resistance.
• The monthly bottom can please sellers below 100-day SMA.

GBP/USD remains a little changed below 1.3000 during early Wednesday. The cable posted a trend reversal Doji candlestick formation the previous day. Though, 50-day and 100-day SMA continue to restrict near-term moves.

While the recent Doji favors the pair’s pullback, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its November-December 2019 upside, at 1.3055, could lure the buyers ahead of making them confront 50-day SMA level of 1.3067.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2976 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2958. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3036 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3054

Important Economic Events of the Day

• USD Building Permits
• USD Housing Starts m/m
• USD PPI m/m
• USD FOMC Member Kashkari Speech

 

Quote from Xtream on 27th February 2020, 8:28 am

 

Technical Overview of USD/JPY and AUD/USD Currency Pair

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 110.42

USD/JPY stalls its bounce near 110.40 regions and meets fresh supply over the last hour, as the risk-off sentiment intensifies amid rising coronavirus risks and knocks-off the US 10-year Treasury yields to a new record low just above the 1.30% level.

• USD/JPY printed a bullish inside day candlestick pattern on Wednesday.
• The pair could find bids and challenge resistance at 110.70-111.00.
• USD/JPY: Bulls and bears jostle below 111.00 amid coronavirus fears
• USD/JPY fails to hold onto the previous day’s recovery gains.
• Traders smell fears in the US President Donald Trump’s measured comments.
• Coronavirus updates keep the risk-tone under pressure; US data will decorate the economic calendar.
• USD/JPY drops back towards 110.00 as US 10-year Treasury yields hit record lows

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 110.18 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.05. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.62, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.75.

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6543.

AUD/USD extends the bounce above 0.6550 after Australia's Q4 Capex data release. The headline number missed forecasts; however, estimates for 2020/21 bettered expectations. The risk-off tone in the markets could cap the further upside in the spot.

• AUD/USD looks oversold as per the daily chart RSI.
• The 4-hour chart RSI is reporting a bullish divergence.
• The broader trend remains bearish with the pair stuck in a falling channel.
• AUD/USD may witness a corrective bounce as technical charts are signaling seller exhaustion.

The 4-hour chart RSI has charted higher lows, contradicting lower lows on price. That bullish divergence indicates the bearish momentum has ebbed. The inverted hammer seen on the 4-hour chart is also echoing similar sentiments.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6540 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6524. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6590 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6606.

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Quote from Xtream on 21st July 2020, 9:37 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD, and AUD/USD Currency Pairs!!

The EUR/USD pair was at the edge with the above level at 1.1450 with the year to date high at the level 1.1492. Moreover, the pair will be rose up to a higher level at 1.1467 that will be dropped sharply to level 1.1400 before going to snapping back again. If we talk about the Today the pair will still at the higher for the EUR. It could reach level 1.1492. On the downside, the pair will be a breach at the minor level with the minor support of 1.1425 that will build up he momentum.

The declining upward pressure got a lift, though a minor one as EUR rose to a high at the level 1.1467 yesterday (20 Jul) before settling marginally higher at 1.1444 (+0.16%). From here, the possibility for a break of 1.1492 has expanded however taking into account the still 'provisional' force, it is left to be checked whether EUR can extend out its benefit to 1.1540. In general, the uplifting standpoint for EUR is regarded as flawless except if there is an entrance of 1.1375.

The Pair were previously closed at level 1.1444. The support and resistance level for the pair will be 1.1398 and 1.1444.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD rises to 0.7033, up 0.20% on a day, during the early Tuesday. The pair as of late profited by peppy RBA minutes while moving the earlier day's positive thinking. Dealers currently expect remarks from the RBA Governor Philip Lowe for a supported course.

Minutes of the most recent RBA financial approach stated, "Individuals concurred that there was no compelling reason to modify the bundle of measures in Australia in the current condition." This opposes the prior expectations that the policymakers are stresses over the second introduction of the coronavirus (COVID-19).

The Pair were previously closed at level 0.7013. The support and resistance level for the pair will be 0.7008 and 0.7024.

Upcoming ECONOMIC Event’s

• AUD RBA Governor Lowe Speech
• CAD Retail Sales m/m
• CAD Core Retail Sales m/m

www.xtreamforex.com

Quote from Xtream on 3rd August 2020, 10:44 am

Major Economic Events in the 1^st week of August 2020

Get all updates on international economy, Business news, Global market news, world business, and global business trade on Business Standard. Major Economic Events in the Market this week are as following:

3 August 14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

It shows the business conditions in the US manufacturing sector to predict the overall conditions of the US. It will be consensus with the 48.4 and the previous forecast was 52.6 it will predict that it will seem 50-50 positive and negative effect for USD.

4 August 22:45 NZD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (Q2)

Unemployment Rate: It shows the unemployed workers divided by the total civilian force. It will be expected that if the rate is up it will weaken the New Zealand economy on the other side decrease in the Figure will seem as positive or bullish for the NZD when the increase is seen as the negative.

Employment Change: Employment change measures the change in the number of employed people. It will be expected to implications for consumer spending to economic growth. High is seen as positive for the NZD and low reading is seems negative.

5 August 9:00 EUR Retail Sales (YoY) (Jun)

Retail Sale measures the performance in the retail sector in the short term. It will reflect the rate of change in sales. It will expected usually the positive economic growth in Bullish while the low reading seems Negative.

14:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing (PMI)(Jul)

It shows the business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector. The non-manufacturing sector does not influence either positively or negatively.

6 August 06:00 GBP Bank of England Monetary Policy

It will analyze the quarterly report in the inflation projections based on the Monetary Policy committee bases. Expected that high reading is seen as positive for the GBP.

7 August 12:30 USD NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls)

The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile, due to its high relation with economic policy decisions made by the Central Bank. The number is also subject to strong reviews in the upcoming months, and those reviews also tend to trigger volatility in the forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish), although previous months reviews ​and the unemployment rate are as relevant as the headline figure, and therefore market's reaction depends on how the market assets them all.

Quote from Xtream on 10th August 2020, 7:39 am

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair will run out of the stream and reached the level 1.1916 on Thursday that indicates the technical indicators.

The EUR/USD pair daily chart indicates the bearish divergence according to the Relative strength index with slow stochastic. Moreover, the bearish divergence occurs that indicates the chart lower highs that opposed the higher lows and the Higher highs in Price that will take to be the sign of the Bullish momentum.

On Friday the pair was a decline at the level 0.78% to validated the uptrend exhaustion by the Thursday formed the spinning top candle that confirmed the short term bullish to a bearish trend change.

All things considered, a more grounded pullback might be seen for this present week. Quick help is situated at 1.1696 (Aug. 3 low), which, whenever entered, would declare a double top breakdown on the day by day chart and open the entryways for 1.1482 (focus according to the planned move strategy). On the higher side, 1.1916 is the level to beat for the bulls. At press time, the pair is sidelined close to 1.1791.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD was traded around the level at 1.3050 during the early Monday's Asian meeting. In doing as such, the Cable trims increase following a U-turn a seven-day-old helpline. The information could be followed by the pair's failure to cross 200-HMA.

Other than the 200-HMA and quick helpline, weak RSI conditions and waiting MACD furthermore bring up issues for the pair traders. Subsequently, they search for an away from of any of these key specialized levels for new headings.

The Cable pair will be traded upside that breaks the 200 HMA at level 1.3067 that will aim to go at the level 1.3100 the pair further go up with the ascending trend line and currently traded at the level 1.3190.

It will be expected, a drawback break below the referenced helpline, close at the level  1.3020, can attack the 1.3000 points to return to July 28 top close to 1.2950.

It ought to likewise be noticed that the pair's ascent past-1.3190 will require approval from 1.3200 before examining the bulls. In the interim, the bears' strength past-1.2950 can feature at the level 1.2840/35.