Technical analysis for FTSE 100 for 14th October 2025
The bulls will be looking to consolidate after yesterday's rise and defend any drop today, on what may well start as a bear Tuesday. The 9400 level is being tested as I write this and the bears will be aiming to get it a bit lower if possible, probably down to the S2 9387, and where we also have the 9381 key fib, and 9380 20 day Raff channel bottom. As such, if we see this area then I would like to see that hold for a push back up past 9400 and more than likely a test of the daily pivot at 9440.
The 30m chart is bearish to start with so an early drop would make sense, and also mimic the ASX200 action which saw a dip and rise play out. Having also tested the 2h Hull MA resistance at 9460 overnight we have seen the shorts appear there overnight, and put the bulls on the back foot. As such, that level has continued to decline and is now also at the daily pivot level, hence this will in theory be decent in hours resistance.
FTSE100 Market Bias
Time Frame | Bias | Comment |
---|---|---|
Intraday | Bearish-to-neutral | Price below EMAs and pivot |
Short-Term | ⚪ Range to Mildly Bullish | Still within rising channel on daily |
Momentum | Weakening | 30m RSI trending lower |
Sentiment | Risk-off tone early in session | Futures slightly negative pre-open |
If the bears were to break 9380 then we have another test likely of the 25ema on the daily at 9360, and the bears will of course be aiming to retest the lows seen on Friday - 9341. I am more inclined to go with the 9380 level holding this morning though.
Conversely, if the bulls were to break above the 9440 level then we can look for a test of the 9460 200ema on the 30m initially, with the 9491 R2 level above that, though we do have R1 at 9471 splitting those two levels. I think the daily pivot will get a decent reaction today and we get a dip rise dip play out.
For the S&P500 it may well be similar with a test of the 6582 S2 level before a bounce towards the daily pivot at 6647. 6560 would also be the gap close from Friday if the bears break 6380 so bear that in mind, but generally look for a climb to the daily pivot during today's session.
The DAX40 meanwhile is just testing the key fib support at 24227 as I write this, but if the bears probe below this then 24177 is the S2 level, and I would like to see that hold for a push up to the 24378 pivot, before some more bearishness later. Above the pivot then look for a rise to the key fib at 24548.
Good luck today.
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